
The Plumber Paradox — Why 'Learn a Trade' Is Not the Safety Net You Think It Is
The reassurance has become a reflex: “Don’t worry about AI replacing your job. Learn a trade. Become a plumber. You’ll always be needed.” It’s not false. But it’s not entirely true either—probably about 75% correct, which is the most dangerous place for an argument to land. I. Three Hidden Variables The advice works until you account for three things that never make it into the conversation: saturation, incompetence, and structural obsolescence. …








